Investment in Romania
Romania - Investment
Growth moderates in Q4
According to a preliminary estimate released by the National Institute of Statistics on 14 February, the economy expanded 4.1% in the fourth quarter over the same period last year, slightly decelerating from the third quarter (Q3: +4.2% year-on-year). The result brings GDP growth for 2018 as a whole to 4.1%, notably down from the 7.0% expansion recorded in 2017.
Although a breakdown by components is not yet available, weakening industrial and external sectors were behind the marginal slowdown. Industrial production growth was quite subdued in Q4, as was external demand, both of which suffered from a cooling industrial sector in the EU. On the other hand, robust retail sales, coupled with tightening labor market conditions and moderating inflation, suggest household spending expanded at a solid pace in the quarter. Moreover, even if absorption of EU funds likely remained sluggish, fixed investment is expected to have rebounded somewhat following two quarters of contraction.
On a quarter-on-quarter, seasonally-adjusted basis, GDP growth fell notably (Q4: +0.7% quarter-on-quarter; Q3: +1.7% qoq). The Statistical Office (INSSE) will release more detailed data on 7 March.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the economy to grow 3.3% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2020, the panel sees the economy expanding 2.8%.
Romania - Investment Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment (annual variation in %) | -5.6 | 3.2 | 7.1 | -1.8 | 4.5 |
Romania Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 4.87 | 0.23 % | Mar 20 |
| Exchange Rate | 4.19 | -0.34 % | Mar 20 |
| Stock Market | 8,019 | -0.59 % | Mar 20 |
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Economic News
Romania: Growth moderates in Q4
February 14, 2019
According to a preliminary estimate released by the National Institute of Statistics on 14 February, the economy expanded 4.1% in the fourth quarter over the same period last year, slightly decelerating from the third quarter (Q3: +4.2% year-on-year).
Romania: Industrial production contracts in December
February 13, 2019
Industrial output dropped 0.8% in annual terms in December, contrasting November's 2.6% expansion.
Romania: Inflation stable in January
February 13, 2019
Consumer prices jumped 0.8% over the previous month in January, following December’s 0.2% month-on-month increase.
Romania: Central Bank holds rates unchanged at its February meeting
February 7, 2019
At its monetary policy meeting held on 7 February, the National Bank of Romania (NBR) kept the policy rate unchanged at 2.50%.
Romania: Industrial production loses steam in November
January 14, 2019
Industrial output grew 2.6% in annual terms in November, below October's 3.5% expansion.
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