Indonesia Economic Outlook
May 22, 2018
A muted performance by the external sector caused year-on-year GDP growth to decelerate in the first quarter. While waning trade momentum and subdued prices for Indonesian commodities weighed on export growth, imports soared at a double-digit rate, underscoring that the domestic economy was in good shape. More recent data from Q2 is mixed and suggests that the domestic economy continues to perform strongly while weakness lingers in the external sector. In April, the manufacturing PMI reached an over one-year high, and consumer confidence edged higher. However, the trade balance posted the largest deficit in four years. The weak trade figure put pressure on the currency, which crossed the 14,000 IDR per USD threshold on 15 May amid heightened volatility due to growing concerns that faster-than-expected monetary tightening in the U.S. will result in capital outflows from the economy.Indonesia Economic Growth
The economy is expected to accelerate marginally this year on the back of solid growth in government consumption and fixed investment. Risks, however, are tilted to the downside as prices for key commodities remain depressed and declining external demand growth could weigh on the external sector. Likewise, the economy is vulnerable to capital outflows, which could be a source of financial instability. FocusEconomics panelists see GDP growth of 5.3% in 2018, unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2019, the economy is seen growing 5.4%.Indonesia Economy Data
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Indonesia Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 7.28 | -0.05 % | Jun 08 |
| Exchange Rate | 13,930 | 0.05 % | Jun 14 |
| Stock Market | 5,994 | -0.32 % | Jun 08 |
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Indonesia Economic News
Indonesia: Retail sales up in April
June 12, 2018
In April, retail sales rose 4.1% over the same month last year, coming in above March’s 2.5% increase and market expectations of a 3.4% increase.
Indonesia: Manufacturing PMI improves in May
June 5, 2018
Conditions in Indonesia’s manufacturing sector improved in May, according to the IHS Markit and Nikkei manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which ticked up from 51.6 in April to 51.7 in May, the best reading since June 2016.
Indonesia: Inflation drops in May
June 4, 2018
In May, consumer prices increased 0.21% from the previous month, coming in above the 0.10% month-on-month increase observed in April.
Indonesia: Bank Indonesia hikes rates for the second time in a month in May
May 30, 2018
The Board of Governors of Bank Indonesia (BI) surprised markets by holding an unscheduled meeting on 30 May and deciding to hike interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time in one month.
Indonesia: BI hikes rates for the first time in four years in May
May 17, 2018
At its 17 and 18 May monetary policy meeting, Bank Indonesia decided to increase interest rates by 25 basis points, the first hike since November 2014, in a move aimed to ensure economic stability.
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