Interest Rate in Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan - Interest Rate
Central bank maintains policy
At its latest meeting on 5 September, the National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) maintained its base rate at 14.50%, following its decision to hike by 50 basis points in late July. Meanwhile, the interest rate corridor was kept at plus or minus 1.0 percentage points.
The NBK argued that the current rate was sufficient to ensure the stability of the financial market and allow consumers and businesses to keep saving. Moreover, it said that the tightening undertaken since January 2022 had not yet fully seeped into the economy, necessitating additional time to assess its impact.
Inflation accelerated to 16.1% in August from 15.0% in July, and the median inflation expectation for the year ahead rose to 16.5% in August. The NBK outlined supply chain disruptions, a weakening tenge against the ruble and government spending as the main inflation drivers.
Looking ahead, our panel forecasts more than 25 basis points of tightening by end-2022. The NBK considers that inflation will reach 16.0–8.0% by the end of the year. The Bank stated that future monetary policy decisions would be contingent on the accuracy of its inflation forecasts and on the balance of risks in the global and domestic economies.
The next monetary policy meeting is scheduled to take place on 24 October.
FocusEconomics Consensus panelists see the base rate ending 2022 at 14.90%, and 2023 at 11.36%.
Kazakhstan - Interest Rate Data
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Policy Interest Rate (%) | 16.00 | 12.00 | 10.25 | 9.25 | 9.25 |
Kazakhstan Interest Rate Chart
Kazakhstan Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange Rate | 382.9 | 0.32 % | Jan 01 |
| Stock Market | 0.1 | 0.0 % | Jan 07 |
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Economic News
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Kazakhstan: GDP growth softens in Q3
November 15, 2022
According to a preliminary reading, GDP growth weakened to 2.8% year on year in January–September, down from 3.6% in January–June.
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Kazakhstan: Inflation comes in at highest level since August 2008 in October
November 1, 2022
Inflation rose to 18.8% in October, above September’s 17.7%.
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Kazakhstan: Industrial output rebounds in August
September 15, 2022
Industrial output increased 1.4% year on year in August (July: -2.4% yoy).
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Kazakhstan: GDP growth weakens in Q2
September 5, 2022
According to a preliminary reading, GDP growth weakened to 3.4% year on year in January-June, down from 4.6% in January–March.
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Kazakhstan: Inflation comes in at highest level since September 2016 in August
September 5, 2022
Consumer prices increased 1.40% in August over the previous month, accelerating from the 1.10% increase logged in July.
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