Agricultural Commodities Price Outlook Economic Forecast

Agricultural Commodities Price Outlook

Fears of oversupply hit price outlook for Q4 2018

The agricultural commodity index was downgraded this month and is expected to average 125.9 in Q4 2018, which is 1.0% lower compared to August. Surging supply for a number of agricultural commodities is keeping prices subdued. That said, the index is seen rising from 120.4 in Q4 2017 as a result of healthy demand.

Behind this month’s outlook were downgraded forecasts for seven commodities including cocoa, coffee, soybeans and sugar. However, corn’s forecast was upgraded, while oats’ projection was left unchanged.

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Agricultural Historical Price Data

2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  
Corn698.6  598.06  397.77  361.72  343.92  
Oats367.32  387.48  402.11  284.65  255.52  
Soybeans1454.53  1419.78  1250.72  936.31  968.21  
Wheat749.42  699.94  578.22  481.76  431.09  
Cocoa2390.93  2441.23  3064.48  3136.98  2893.27  
Coffee175.1  122.21  171.43  132.27  137.88  
Cotton74.43  79.63  73.38  61.47  64.13  
Sugar21.54  17.69  16.99  13.43  18.08  
Wool1088.33  1071.7  1047.33  1198.43  1293.69  

Note:
Corn prices in USD cents per bushel (bu).
Oats prices in USD cents per bushel (bu).
Soybeans prices in USD cents per bushel (bu).
Wheat prices in USD cents per bushel (bu).
Cocoa prices in USD per metric ton (mt).
Coffee prices in USD cents per pound (lb).
Cotton prices in USD cents per pound (lb).
Sugar prices in USD cents per pound (lb).
Wool prices in AUD cents per kilogram (kg).
All prices are average of period (aop).

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