Current Account in South Africa
South Africa - Current Account (billions of U.S. Dollars)
Available data points to a downturn in the third quarter following the second quarter’s upswing, as a series of breakdowns in Eskom’s coal power plants triggered a burst of rolling blackouts. Consequently, electricity supply swung to contraction in the quarter, as the debt-ridden state-owned utility struggles to stay afloat, hampering overall activity. Moreover, manufacturing production and business confidence both fell in Q3, while retail sales growth slowed in the first two months of the quarter. On 1 November, Moody’s opted to uphold its rating on the country’s sovereign debt rather than downgrade to junk, despite the medium-term budget policy statement released on 30 October revealing a bleak fiscal picture ahead. The outlook, however, was cut from stable to negative, underlining the material risk that the government will likely fail to restore fiscal discipline, especially given an apparent lack of political capital to implement tough reforms. This suggests that the country is unlikely to retain its final investment-grade rating in the medium-term; a downgrade to junk would trigger sizeable capital outflows.South Africa - Current Account (USD bn) Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Account Balance (USD bn) | -20.6 | -18.1 | -15.4 | -8.6 | -8.9 |
South Africa Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 8.33 | 0.29 % | Nov 21 |
| Exchange Rate | 14.69 | -0.21 % | Nov 21 |
| Stock Market | 0.1 | -0.44 % | Nov 21 |
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Economic News
South Africa: Private sector activity deteriorates in November
December 4, 2019
Business conditions in South Africa’s private sector remained in contractionary territory for the seventh month running in November.
South Africa: Economy unexpectedly contracts in Q3, hurting rand
December 3, 2019
The economy shrank in the third quarter after escaping technical recession in the second quarter.
South Africa: SARB keeps rates on hold despite risks to the outlook
November 21, 2019
At its meeting ending 21 November, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) held the repurchase rate at 6.50%, as was expected by most market analysts.
South Africa: Inflation slides to over eight-year low in October
November 20, 2019
Consumer prices came in flat over the previous month in October, following a 0.3% month-on-month rise in September.
South Africa: Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement lays bare fiscal deterioration, threatening South Africa’s debt ratings
November 11, 2019
The Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) presented by Finance Minister Tito Mboweni on 30 October revealed the bleak state of South Africa’s public finances, with budget shortfalls projected to exceed over 6.0% of GDP over the next three years.
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