Exchange Rate in Canada
Canada - Exchange Rate
Loonie plunges to the lowest level since February 2016 in March
On 27 March, the Canadian dollar (CAD) ended the day at 1.40 per USD, marking a 4.2% depreciation over the same day the month prior. Moreover, the loonie was down 7.1% on a year-to-date basis and was 4.1% weaker than on the same day last year.
The CAD had been falling gradually in January and February, mainly the result of a moderating oil demand growth outlook as the Chinese economy started to totter. However, in March, the loonie plunged rapidly in tandem with energy prices following a breakdown of OPEC+ discussions on production curtailments. OPEC+ producers are now expected to take a price-targeting approach, rather than a production-targeting approach, and are expected to flood the oil market in April when quotas are set to expire. This comes amid a sharp decline in global economic activity and, consequently, flagging demand for hydrocarbon products, causing prices to fall to near two-decade lows in recent days. Exacerbating matters, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held three meetings in March, cutting the target for the overnight policy rate by 50 basis points each time, in an attempt to shore up liquidity in the financial system. This put further downward pressure on the CAD; however, in late March the BoC announced measures in coordination with other major economies to ensure ample supply of the greenback in the global economy, which aided the loonie somewhat.
Looking ahead, the Canadian dollar will remain hampered this year by a bleak economic outlook, frail external sector, depressed oil prices and a significantly looser monetary stance. Nevertheless, a recovery in economic activity after Covid-19 passes and a rebound in the external sector should strengthen the loonie somewhat by year-end.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see the Canadian dollar trading at 1.38 per USD at the end of 2020. For 2021, panelists see the exchange rate closing the year at CAD 1.33 per USD.
Canada - Exchange Rate Data
|Exchange Rate (vs USD)||1.38||1.34||1.26||1.36||1.30|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Canada Exchange Rate Chart
Source: Thomson Reuters.
|Bond Yield||1.70||1.00 %||Dec 31|
|Exchange Rate||1.30||0.15 %||Jan 01|
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July 31, 2020
The economy grew 4.5% month-on-month in May, contrasting April’s titanic 11.7% decrease and well above Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate of a 3.0% increase.
July 22, 2020
Consumer prices increased 0.96% from a month earlier on a seasonally-adjusted basis in June, stronger than the 0.15% rise in May.
July 20, 2020
According to the Teranet-National Bank Composite House Price Index, house price growth decelerated to 0.7% on a month-on-month non-seasonally-adjusted basis in June, from May’s 1.1%.
July 2, 2020
In June, the IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) increased from 40.6 in May to 47.8.
June 30, 2020
The economy contracted 11.6% month-on-month in April, sharper than March’s 7.5% decrease and slightly worse than Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate of a 11.0% fall.