Private Consumption in Estonia
The Estonian economy recorded an average growth rate of 2.8% in private consumption in the decade to 2024, below the 1.2% average for Euro Area. In 2024, the growth of private consumption was-0.4%. For more information on private consumption, visit our dedicated page.
Estonia Private consumption Chart
Note: This chart displays Private Consumption (annual variation in %) for Estonia from 2024 to 2017.
Source: Macrobond.
Estonia Private consumption Data
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Private Consumption (ann. var. %) | -1.0 | 7.2 | 3.1 | -1.5 | -0.4 |
Economy contracts in Q1
Sustained growth remains a distant dream: GDP fell 0.3% in Q1 2025 in annual terms following Q4 2024’s 1.2% expansion. The decline was the strongest since Q3 2024 and was notably below the flash estimate of a 1.2% rise. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, economic activity shrank 0.3% in Q1, compared to the previous period's 0.2% growth and marking the worst reading since Q4 2023.
Household consumption and net exports cap momentum: Domestically, private spending drove the annual contraction, declining 0.6% in Q1 compared to a 1.3% expansion in Q4. That said, elsewhere in the domestic economy, momentum improved. Government spending rebounded, growing 1.7% in Q1 (Q4 2024: -1.1% yoy); moreover, fixed investment fell at a softer pace of 0.1% in Q1 following the 10.3% decrease in the previous quarter, boosted by public outlays in the defense sector as part of the EU’s rearmament drive. On the external side, exports of goods and services growth improved to 5.4% in Q1 (Q4 2024: +2.9% yoy). However, imports of goods and services growth sped up to 5.8% in Q1 (Q4 2024: +4.8% yoy). As a result, the contribution of net trade to GDP growth remained negative.
How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Estonian private consumption projections for the next ten years from a panel of 11 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable private consumption forecast available for Estonian private consumption.
Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Estonian private consumption projections.
Want to get access to the full dataset of Estonian private consumption forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.
Latest Global GDP News
-
Hong Kong: GDP growth records best result since Q4 2023 in Q2 GDP reading: GDP growth ticked up to 3.1% year on year in the second quarter from 3.0% in the first... -
Canada: Economy flatlines in May GDP reading: GDP was flat in month-on-month seasonally adjusted terms in May, following April’s 0.1% decrease. On an annual basis,... -
Mexico: GDP growth accelerates in Q2 GDP reading: According to a preliminary estimate, GDP growth accelerated to 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted quarter on quarter basis... -
Taiwan: GDP growth records fastest expansion since Q2 2021 in the second quarter GDP reading: GDP growth picked up to 8.0% year on year in the second quarter from 5.5% in the first... -
United States: Economy rebounds in Q2 GDP reading: GDP rebounded 3.0% in seasonally adjusted annualized rate terms (SAAR) in the second quarter, contrasting the 0.5% contraction... -
Malaysia: Economy edges up more than expected in the second quarter Economic activity surprises markets to the upside: According to a preliminary reading, GDP growth edged up to 4.5% year on... -
China: GDP growth loses steam in Q2 but beats expectations GDP reading: GDP growth moderated to 5.2% year on year in the second quarter from 5.4% in the first quarter...