Georgia Economic Outlook
May 12, 2020Available data already hints at the Covid-19 hit to the economy in Q1, which is set to accentuate even further in Q2. Economic activity contracted for the first time in over five years in March. The services sector particularly suffered as businesses closed due to the state of emergency, which has now been extended until 22 May. Similarly, merchandise exports collapsed in the same month as the spread of the coronavirus shuttered foreign demand, particularly from the U.S. and Russia. In late April, the government unveiled a six-phase plan to gradually reopen the economy over the next three months, and also presented a GEL 3.5 billion (around 6.0% of GDP) economic package aimed at supporting households and businesses deal with the pandemicâ€™s impact. Moreover, on 1 May, the IMF approved a USD 200 million disbursement to help the country meet the urgent fiscal and external financing needs arising from the pandemic.
Georgia Economic GrowthAfter a decade of uninterrupted and robust growth, the economy is now seen contracting due to the significant blow dealt by Covid-19. A fall in external demand and tourism activity will pummel exports, while domestic demand will be restrained due to the containment measures put in place. Increased pressure to the fiscal and external positions are additional risks ahead. FocusEconomics panelists project GDP to shrink 3.0% in 2020, which is down 2.6 percentage points from last monthâ€™s forecast, and expand 5.0% in 2021.
Georgia Economy Data
5 years of Georgia economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Exchange Rate||2.86||0.0 %||Jan 01|
|Stock Market||0.1||0.55 %||Jan 07|
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