Latin America Economic Forecast

Economic Snapshot for Latin America

January 18, 2022

Regional economy to cool in 2022

The pace of GDP expansion is set to cool notably this year, amid a less favorable base effect and slower expansions in domestic and foreign demand, and as fiscal and monetary policies turn less accommodative. The threat of further Covid-19 variants, high inflation and political and policy uncertainty associated with elections in some countries are key factors to watch.

Inflation to moderate 2022

Regional inflation came in at 11.7% in December (November: 11.9%), amid declining inflation rates in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil and Paraguay. That said, high energy prices and recovering activity sustained inflation. It should ease this year on less supportive monetary policy stances, but will remain high amid ongoing supply bottlenecks and elevated energy prices.

 

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