Exchange Rate in Nigeria
Nigeria - Exchange Rate
Naira depreciates drastically following scrapping of currency peg in June
The naira has been weakening against the U.S. dollar since June when the Central Bank scrapped the currency peg that had kept it at an artificially-high value of around 198 NGN per USD for over a year. Directly after the peg was abandoned on 20 June, the currency lost over 40% of its value against the USD and fell to 282 NGN per USD. While the Central Bank had pledged to move to a free-floating exchange regime, it intervened in the foreign exchange market in the weeks after the devaluation to keep the naira within a narrow range of 282 to 285 NGN per USD. In mid-July, the Bank reduced its interventions, causing the naira to depreciate further. On 28 July the currency fell to a record-low of 322 NGN per USD, which marked a 14.2% depreciation over the same day in June and a 61.8% depreciation in annual terms. Since then, the naira has been fluctuating at low levels. On 18 August it traded at 321 NGN per USD.
Most analysts agree that the abandonment of the currency peg was long overdue. Greater exchange rate flexibility sparked hopes that the shortage of hard currency and restrictions on imports, which were partly behind Nigeria’s disappointing economic performance in Q1, would ease. Nevertheless, the country still faces significant headwinds. The depreciation of the naira prompted the Central Bank to hike interest rates to a record high in July in an effort to combat rising inflation, which risks restraining economic activity. Ongoing militant attacks on oil facilities are exacerbating the situation by hampering oil production in the country.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the naira to trade at 291 per USD at the end of 2016. For 2017, the panel foresees the NGN trading at 306 per USD.
Nigeria - Exchange Rate Data
|Exchange Rate (vs USD)||155.2||167.5||196.5||304.5||305.5|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Nigeria Exchange Rate Chart
Source: Thomson Reuteurs
|Bond Yield||14.41||0.0 %||May 13|
|Exchange Rate||306.5||3.08 %||May 13|
|Stock Market||1.1||0.0 %||May 06|
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May 20, 2019
Nigeria’s economy entered 2019 on a softer note, with GDP growth decelerating to 2.0% on an annual basis in the first quarter.
May 15, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.94% on a month-on-month basis in April, up from March’s 0.79% climb.
May 6, 2019
The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) edged up from 53.6 in March to 55.5 in April, hitting a five-month high.
April 16, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.79% on a month-on-month basis in March, marginally above February’s 0.73% increase.
April 3, 2019
In March, the Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 53.6, slightly above February’s 20-month low of 53.3.