Investment in Uruguay
Uruguay - Investment
GDP contracts at softer pace in Q3
According to rebased national accounts data released by the Central Bank on 17 December, with the new base year referring to 2016 prices, GDP dropped at a milder rate of 5.9% year-on-year in the third quarter, above the 12.5% contraction seen in the second quarter.
The third quarter’s improvement largely reflected the easing of containment measures. Household spending slid at a more moderate rate of 5.9% year-on-year in Q3 compared to a 13.0% contraction in Q2, while public consumption fell at a slower pace of 9.4% in Q3 (Q2: -13.1% yoy). Meanwhile, fixed investment rebounded, growing 0.1% in Q3, contrasting the 13.7% contraction recorded in the prior quarter.
On the external front, exports of goods and services dropped at a slower rate of 19.2% in Q3 (Q2: -22.4% yoy). In addition, imports of goods and services declined at a softer pace of 13.8% in Q3 (Q2: -21.4% yoy).
GDP should return to growth in 2021, after this year’s Covid-19-induced slump. A revival in demand from key trading partners should boost the external sector, while domestic activity is seen rebounding. Weak fiscal accounts, which have further deteriorated due to the health crisis, and uncertainty over the trajectory of the pandemic pose downside risks.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see GDP growing 3.8% in 2021, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2022, the panel sees GDP expanding 2.7%.
Uruguay - Investment Data
|Investment (annual variation in %)||-9.2||-1.6||-15.7||-2.7||1.4|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
|Exchange Rate||37.33||0.24 %||Jan 01|
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February 11, 2021
Industrial output increased 1.4% year-on-year in December (November: -10.7% yoy).
February 11, 2021
At its first meeting of the year on 11 February, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Uruguay kept the monetary policy rate on hold at 4.50%. The decision to keep the rate unchanged came against the backdrop of continued uncertainty regarding the economic environment and moderating inflationary pressures.
February 4, 2021
Consumer prices rose 1.60% from the previous month in January, swinging from December's 0.19% drop and marking the sharpest increase in prices since April 2020.
January 11, 2021
Industrial output nosedived 10.7% year-on-year in November (October: +4.8% yoy).
January 5, 2021
Consumer prices dropped 0.19% from the previous month in December, swinging from November's 0.28% increase.