Zambia Economic Outlook
August 20, 2019Suffering from the worst drought in close to four decades, economic conditions remain challenging. The dearth of rainfall has restrained agricultural and hydropower output since the start of the year, and pushed up inflation to a near three-year high in July. Fearing that it would further stoke price pressures, the government delayed implementing a new sales tax for the third time this year, until 2020. Moreover, copper production shrank in H1 compared to the same period of last year, and overseas sales of the commodity also contracted in the period. The fall in exports largely reflects reduced copper earnings owing to lower prices. At the same time, the risk of debt distress remains elevated amid dwindling reserves and an increase in imports in the second quarter has further drained foreign exchange reserves.
Zambia Economic GrowthThe economy is seen losing considerable traction this year amid high inflation, muted agricultural production, weak mining activity and an uncertain business environment. Meanwhile, ongoing tensions between the government and the mining sector, coupled with concerns over the government’s ability to repay its debts, cloud the outlook. FocusEconomics panelists expect GDP to grow 2.3% in 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 2.9% in 2020.
Zambia Economy Data
5 years of Zambia economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Bond Yield||28.38||0.0 %||Jul 31|
|Exchange Rate||12.88||0.0 %||Jul 31|
|Stock Market||0.3||0.0 %||Jul 31|
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