Cote d'Ivoire Economic Forecast

Cote d'Ivoire Economic Outlook

June 21, 2022

GDP expanded 6.3% in Q1 2022 according to the regional central bank, an identical pace to Q4 2021, notwithstanding a surge in Covid-19 cases at the outset of the year. Q1’s reading was chiefly driven by expanding retail sales, industrial production output and improving construction activity. It was also among the strongest growth rates in the West African Economic and Monetary Union. Turning to Q2, the war in Ukraine driving up food and fuel prices is likely capping consumer spending. Furthermore, the volume of cocoa production has been marginally weaker through to early June this year, while cocoa prices have followed a declining trend as high inflation abroad weighs on demand. That said, recent rains bode well for upcoming cocoa output.

Cote d'Ivoire Economic Growth

GDP growth should remain among the fastest in Sub-Saharan Africa this year, thanks to robust industrial production and investment. Reforms under the government’s 2021–2025 National Development Plan (NDP) are an upside risk. However, external price pressures, a widening current account deficit requiring external financing, and rising debt costs remain downside risks. FocusEconomics panelists project GDP to expand 6.3% in 2022, which is down 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 6.6% in 2023.

Cote d'Ivoire Economy Data

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Population (million)23.724.325.025.626.3
GDP per capita (USD)1,3971,4511,5251,6791,686
GDP (USD bn)33.135.338.143.044.3
Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)8.88.07.77.47.5
Consumption (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Investment (annual variation in %)14.62.911.914.4-  
Industrial Production (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Unemployment Rate3.12.63.33.23.3
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)-2.0-3.0-3.3-4.0-  
Public Debt (% of GDP)47.348.449.853.2-  
Money (annual variation in %)18.211.09.213.410.8
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)1.20.70.70.40.8
Exchange Rate (vs USD)603.9621.9546.3573.8584.4
Policy Interest Rate (%)3.504.504.504.504.50
Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)591.4593.1581.7556.0586.0
Current Account (% of GDP)-0.6-1.2-2.8-4.8-4.9
Current Account Balance (USD bn)-0.2-0.4-1.0-2.1-2.2
Trade Balance (USD billion)3.23.13.42.52.3
Exports (USD billion)11.710.911.911.911.7
Imports (USD billion)8.67.88.59.59.4
Exports (annual variation in %)-9.5-7.39.10.4-1.7
Imports (annual variation in %)-5.8-8.88.811.3-0.3
International Reserves (USD)4.74.65.75.76.7
External Debt (% of GDP)34.432.435.336.4-  

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Cote d'Ivoire Facts

Value Change Date
Exchange Rate585.3-1.11 %Jan 01
Stock Market0.70.0 %Jan 07

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