Unemployment in USA
USA - Unemployment
Labor market continues to recover in June
Total non-farm payrolls soared 4.8 million in June, increasing at the fastest rate since the series began in 1939, and beat market analysts’ expectations of a 3.0 million rise. This follows May’s 2.7 million payroll rise.
Employment in the leisure and hospitality, manufacturing and professional and business services sectors increased notably in June, as containment measures gradually eased.
The unemployment rate decreased to 11.1% in June from 13.3% in May, while the labor force participation rate increased from 60.8% in May to 61.5% in June.
Hourly earnings fell 1.2% month-on-month in June (May: -1.0% month-on-month), while annual wage growth decelerated from 6.7% in May to 5.0% in June.
Despite another positive reading in June, total non-farm payrolls are still down nearly 15 million since February. Going forward, the labor market should gradually improve as lockdown measures continue to ease, but our panelists expect the unemployment rate will remain elevated for the remainder of this year.
Commenting on June’s reading, James Knightly, an economist at ING, noted:
“while today’s jobs report gives a good headline, there are huge headwinds which mean a full recovery in the jobs market is a very long way off.”
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the unemployment rate to average 10.3% in 2020, which is up 0.8 percentage points from last month’s estimate, and 7.9% in 2021.
United States - Unemployment Data
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July 2, 2020
Total non-farm payrolls soared 4.8 million in June, increasing at the fastest rate since the series began in 1939, and beat market analysts’ expectations of a 3.0 million rise.
July 1, 2020
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index increased from 43.6 in May to 52.6 in June, beating market expectations of 49.5 and marking the highest reading in 14 months.
June 30, 2020
The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite home price index—excluding Detroit due to reporting delays—eased to 0.9% month-on-month in April, down from March’s 1.1% rise.
June 16, 2020
Nominal retail sales surged at the fastest rate in the series’ near three-decade history in May, jumping 17.7% in month-on-month seasonally-adjusted terms.
United States: Fed keeps rates at effective floor and additional stimulus measures unchanged in June
June 10, 2020
At its 9–10 June meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the target range for the federal funds rate at its effective floor of 0.00%–0.25%.