Sweden: Economic sentiment ticks up in June, although consumers grow more pessimistic
June 20, 2018
The economic tendency indicator rose from 108.6 in May to 108.7 in June. Values above 100.0 indicate stronger economic growth than normal, while values above 110.0 indicate much stronger growth than normal.
June's uptick came on the back of greater optimism in the construction, retail and services sectors. Sentiment in the construction sector rebounded from a sharp decline in May thanks to fatter order books, while retail sector sentiment improved due to fewer firms reporting excessive stocks, and service sector firms were upbeat regarding demand and business volumes. In contrast, sentiment in the manufacturing sector worsened in June, although it remained strongly positive.
Consumer confidence fell for the seventh straight month, dipping to its lowest level in nearly two years on the back of worsening sentiment regarding households’ own finances and the general economy. Gloominess among consumers is likely being driven by the weaker housing market.
Sweden Fixed Investment Forecast
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see fixed investment growing 3.7% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019. The panel sees private consumption expanding 2.2% in 2018 and 2.0% in 2019.
Author: Oliver Reynolds, Economist