Russia Industry November 2019


Russia: Industrial production growth slumps to near two-year low in November

December 16, 2019

Industrial output rose just 0.3% year-on-year in November, decelerating considerably from October’s 2.6% increase and marking the weakest result since December 2017

November’s deterioration was chiefly driven by a considerable downturn in the manufacturing sector where output growth came to a near halt compared to October’s healthy expansion. On top of that, output stagnated in the electricity, gas and steam, and air conditioning supply sector, which, coupled with a sharper contraction in the water supply and sewage sector, weighed on the overall result further. On a more positive note, mining sector activity gained momentum in November, shielding the overall industrial sector from contraction.

On a monthly basis, industrial production fell 0.6% in seasonally- and calendar-adjusted terms, accelerating from October’s 0.2% dip. Meanwhile, annual average growth in industrial production inched down to a 13-month low of 2.4% in November from 2.6% in October.

The FocusEconomics panel of analysts expects industrial output to expand 2.4% next year, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2021, the panel expects industrial production to increase 2.5%.

Author:, Economist

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Russia Industry Chart

Russia Industry November 2019

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average variation of industrial production index in %.
Source: Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and FocusEconomics calculations.

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