Paraguay Economic Outlook
July 10, 2018First-quarter growth came in at 4.1% year-on-year on the heels of the Central Bank’s base-year change, a sharp slowdown for the region’s star economy from last year’s investment- and export-led economic upturn. Household spending assumed the driver’s seat in the quarter, firming up on a solid expansion in the services sector. Moreover, investment took the backseat on poor outturns by the construction and manufacturing sectors. Externally, exports slowed from last year despite stronger agricultural output—likely due in part to economic turmoil across the region. Meanwhile, second-quarter prospects appear promising; economic activity has accelerated considerably in the seven months since last October, and trade flows have been strengthening since April.
Paraguay Economic GrowthBumper agricultural output and heavy investment flows—notwithstanding a downbeat first quarter—are expected to support key export industries and sustain the economy’s momentum this year. Continued fiscal restraint should underpin investor confidence, although widespread poverty and corruption will remain major concerns. Analysts expect growth of 4.0% in 2018, unchanged from last month’s estimate, and 3.9% in 2019.
Paraguay Economy Data
5 years of Paraguay economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Exchange Rate||5,709||0.18 %||Jul 11|
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