Eurozone Economic Outlook
February 26, 2019Flash estimates revealed that the Eurozone economy remained stuck in a low gear in the fourth quarter. Growth was unchanged from Q3’s pace, which had marked the slowest expansion in over four years. While a detailed breakdown of the drivers is not yet available, soft domestic dynamics likely hobbled the economy amid a downturn in the industrial sector and deteriorating confidence. Available data for this year tells a similar story. Economic sentiment dropped to an over two-year low in January, and the manufacturing PMI fell into contractionary territory in February for the first time since June 2013. A high degree of uncertainty also continues to plague the growth environment. A confidential report by the U.S. Commerce Department released in February is expected to have cleared the way for President Donald Trump to levy tariffs on EU automobiles if a favorable trade agreement is not struck. Meanwhile, the Brexit deadline inches ever closer without a clear plan for the UK’s exit.
Eurozone Economic GrowthA soft end to 2018, weaker economic sentiment and ongoing problems in the manufacturing sector are dampening the outlook for the Eurozone this year. Sluggish global trade and geopolitical uncertainty are also seen dragging on growth in 2019, although a tight labor market and accommodative monetary policy should provide some relief. FocusEconomics analysts expect growth of 1.4% in 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In 2020, growth is seen stable at 1.4%.
Eurozone Economy Data
5 years of Eurozone economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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Eurozone Economic News
March 22, 2019
Leading indicators point to a lackluster quarter for the Euro area’s economy.
March 15, 2019
According to complete data released by Eurostat on 15 March, harmonized inflation came in at 1.5% in February, slightly above January’s 1.4% and matching the preliminary estimate.
March 13, 2019
Industrial output returned to growth in January, after contracting in the previous two months.
March 7, 2019
Ebbing economic momentum across the Eurozone pushed the European Central Bank (ECB) to rethink its monetary policy on 7 March.
March 7, 2019
A third estimate confirmed that the Eurozone economy remained weak through the fourth quarter of last year.