Ethiopia Economic Outlook
September 19, 2017Growth is likely to have dipped in FY 2016, which ended on 7 July, as a significant drought affecting agricultural production depressed exports and consumer spending. However, the economy’s underlying fundamentals remain strong, and concerted government efforts to turn Ethiopia into the continent’s leading manufacturing hub are paying off. The country is attracting sizeable inward investment, particularly from key partner China, which is investing heavily in infrastructure projects. In August, the government announced an agreement to develop a port facility in Sudan. This should reduce reliance on Djibouti for access to global shipping lanes, helping diversify and expand the country’s international trade.
Ethiopia Economy Data
|GDP per capita (USD)||554||640||731||807||-|
|GDP (USD bn)||47.4||55.6||64.6||72.4||-|
|Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)||9.9||10.3||10.4||8.0||-|
|Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)||-2.0||-2.6||-2.5||-1.9||-2.9|
|Public Debt (% of GDP)||42.4||46.3||54.6||54.9||56.9|
|Money (annual variation in %)||32.3||22.3||29.1||21.7||25.1|
|Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %, eop)||15.0||7.7||7.1||10.0||6.7|
|Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)||22.8||8.1||7.4||10.1||7.3|
|Exchange Rate (vs USD)||18.27||19.05||20.33||21.26||22.40|
|Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)||17.78||18.72||19.72||20.76||21.90|
|Current Account (% of GDP)||-5.8||-6.1||-11.0||-11.1||-|
|Current Account Balance (USD bn)||-2.8||-3.4||-7.1||-8.0||-8.0|
|Trade Balance (USD billion)||-8.5||-9.1||-12.0||-13.8||-13.6|
|Exports (USD billion)||3.2||3.0||3.4||2.9||2.8|
|Imports (USD billion)||11.8||12.1||15.4||16.7||16.4|
|Exports (annual variation in %)||6.3||-7.6||13.1||-13.4||-3.6|
|Imports (annual variation in %)||41.2||2.6||27.2||8.8||-1.9|
|International Reserves (USD)||2.4||2.5||3.2||3.4||-|
|External Debt (% of GDP)||22.1||22.6||25.7||28.2||-|
5 years of Ethiopia economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Exchange Rate||27.35||0.16 %||Oct 16|
|Stock Market||0.1||0.0 %||Oct 16|
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Ethiopia Economic Growth
September 19, 2017Strong public spending and solid FDI inflows should lead to robust growth over the next few years. Analysts expect GDP to grow 7.3% in FY 2017, up 0.6 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 7.2% in FY 2018.