Cameroon Economic Outlook
December 13, 2018Third-quarter growth is expected to have remained upbeat (Q2: +3.9% year-on-year) on elevated fixed-capital spending in the run-up to next year’s Africa Cup of Nations (Afcon), although the decision in early December to strip Cameroon of hosting the event has thrown additional construction efforts into jeopardy. Meanwhile, by-now familiar demand-side narratives appear to have spilled over into the second half of the year; the ongoing conflict in the country’s English-speaking regions has likely been weighing on household spending and fixed investment. Moreover, external-sector woes persist—oil and gas exports have plummeted and are likely to have been made worse in recent weeks amid the drop-off in global energy prices.
Cameroon Economic GrowthHousehold spending is expected to strengthen next year on low inflation and improved agricultural output, while exports should benefit from greater oil and gas output as new projects come online. Afcon-related investment is now in doubt and substantial political risk clouds the medium-term outlook. Analysts see growth at 4.2% in 2019, down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 4.4% in 2020.
Cameroon Economy Overview
5 years of Cameroon economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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