China: PMI edges up but remains in negative territory
October 1, 2012
The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) published by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) inched up from 49.2 points in August to 49.8 points in September, falling short of market expectations, which had the PMI rising further to 50.1 points. As a result, the PMI remains below the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction in the manufacturing sector for the second straight month. The September outturn showed that the production output category improved slightly compared to the previous month. In addition, a marginal increase was observed in the new orders category as well as in exports orders. Meanwhile, the input prices category, which is a reliable leading indicator for consumer prices, recovered some of the lost ground, returning to positive territory for the first time in five months.
Author: Ricardo Aceves, Senior Economist