Venezuela Commodities

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Venezuela: Venezuelan oil prices decline in March

April 16, 2015

In March, the average price of Venezuela’s mix of crude oil fell 1.4% over the previous month, hitting USD 47.1 per barrel. The reading notably contrasted the 18.5% increase recorded in February.

According to the latest report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Venezuelan oil production reached 2.35 million barrels per day (mbpd) in March, which matched February’s result.

The Venezuelan government relies heavily on oil revenues to balance its budget and to comply with its international obligations. Oil accounts for about 95% of Venezuela’s exports and for more than half of public sector revenues. The recent plunge in oil prices is expected to put additional pressure on the country’s battered finances. While the 2015 budget assumes an oil price of USD 60 per barrel, analysts point out that the government needs a breakeven oil price that is well above USD 100 per barrel and that the country loses USD 700 million a year for every USD 1 decline in oil prices.

LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists expect oil prices to average USD 69.1 per barrel this year, which is down USD 8.1 per barrel over last month’s projection. In 2016, the panel sees oil prices rising to USD 76.0 per barrel.


Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Venezuela Commodities March 2015

Note: Price of the Venezuelan mix of crude oil in USD per barrel.
Source: Ministry of Petroleum and Mining.


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