Turkey PMI


Turkey: Manufacturing PMI hits almost six-year low in March

April 2, 2015

The HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) inched down from 49.6 in February to 48.0 in March. As a result, the PMI now lies slightly further below the 50-threshold that separates expansion from contraction in manufacturing conditions. In addition, the print marked an almost six-year low.

March’s fall reflected decreases in four of five components of the index. Both new orders and output fell for the third consecutive month. In addition, employment, which had remained a bright spot output, stagnated after 69 consecutive months of growth. Input prices rose to a year high on the back of a weaker lira. HSBC analysts pointed out that, “[t]he March survey results suggest that February’s downturn in the Turkish manufacturing sector was more than just a weather-related blip […] Official industrial production declined 2.2% year-on-year in January, and the PMI Output Index suggests this negative trend will continue over the rest of the quarter.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect industrial production to expand 4.0% in 2015, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. Next year, the panel expects industrial output to increase 4.6%.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Turkey PMI Chart

Turkey PMI March 2015

Note: HSBC Turkey Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity while a value below 50 points to a contraction.
Source: HSBC and Markit.

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