Turkey Industry

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Turkey: Industrial production slows further to 10-month low in June

August 8, 2014

In June, industrial production expanded a calendar-adjusted 1.4% over the same month last year, which was below the revised 3.5% increase tallied in May (previously reported: +3.3% year-on-year) and represented the weakest growth since August 2013. The print undershot the 2.2% increase that market analysts had expected. According to the statistical institute, June’s reading reflected a broad-based deterioration, with manufacturing slowing to a 13-month low and mining and quarrying dipping into the red. The electricity, gas and steam category also slowed in June.

A month-on-month comparison does not corroborate the deterioration suggested by the annual figures as industrial production rose 0.1% in seasonally- and calendar-adjusted terms, which contrasted the 0.8% drop tallied in May. Annual average growth in industrial output edged down from 4.4% in May to 4.1% in June.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect industrial production to expand 3.9% in 2014, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. Next year, the panel expects industrial output to increase 4.2%.


Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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Turkey Industry June 2014

Note: Year-on-year and annual average variation of industrial production index in %.
Source: Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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