Turkey Current Account

Turkey

Turkey: Current account narrows sharply in July

September 11, 2014

The current account balance recorded a USD 2.6 billion deficit in July (June: USD 4.1 billion deficit), which marked an improvement over the USD 6.3 billion shortfall recorded in the same month last year. The print was above the USD 2.8 billion expected by market analysts and represented the lowest deficit since August 2013. The 12-month trailing current account deficit narrowed further from USD 52.1 billion in June to USD 48.5 billion in July (equivalent to approximately 7.0% of GDP).

In July, exports expanded 3.1% in USD terms over the same month last year, which was below the 4.5% increase recorded in June. Imports contracted a sharp 13.5% in July, which represented a deterioration over the 0.9% drop recorded in June and marked the steepest decline since October 2009. As a result of the strong contraction in imports, the trade deficit came in at USD 4.9 billion in July, which marked an improvement over the USD 8.4 billion shortfall recorded in the same month last year.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the current account deficit to reach 5.9% of GDP this year. For 2015, the panel sees the current account deficit remaining broadly stable at 5.7% of GDP.


Author: Ricard Torné, Head of Economic Research

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Turkey Current Account Chart


Turkey Current Account July 2014

Note: Monthly and 12-month sum of current account balance in USD billion.
Source: Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT).


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