Thailand Trade Balance April 2021

Thailand

Thailand: Merchandise exports increase at a quicker pace in April

May 26, 2021

Merchandise exports rose 13.1% annually in April, following March’s 8.5% upturn. April’s reading marked the strongest outturn since April 2018. Meanwhile, merchandise imports surged 29.8% over the same month last year in April (March: +14.1% yoy), marking the best result since January 2013.

As a result, the merchandise trade balance deteriorated from the previous month, recording a USD 0.2 billion surplus in April (March 2021: USD 0.7 billion surplus; April 2020: USD 2.6 billion surplus). Lastly, the trend pointed down, with the 12-month trailing merchandise trade balance recording a USD 18.1 billion surplus in April, compared to the USD 20.4 billion surplus in March.

Looking ahead, as the worldwide recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic continues and vaccination rates gain momentum, exports are set to gain momentum on the back of improved foreign demand. That said, the surge in Covid-19 cases through April–May, a slow vaccine rollout and domestic political challenges at home all pose risks to the outlook.

Regarding the external sector, Sian Fenner, lead Asia economist at Oxford Economics, commented:

“The outlook faces several headwinds, including the latest restrictions, global shipping delays, and the ongoing chip shortage. Nonetheless, we still look for goods exports to trend higher this year as global trade rebounds.”

FocusEconomics panelists project exports to grow 10.1% in 2021 and imports 14.6%, which would bring the trade surplus to USD 35.5 billion. In 2022, exports and imports are expected to increase 6.9% and 7.7% respectively, with the trade surplus at USD 36.2 billion.


Author:, Economist

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Thailand Trade Balance Chart


Thailand Trade12 April 2021

Note: 12-month sum of trade balance in USD billion and annual variation of the 12-month sum of exports and imports in %.
Source: Bank of Thailand (BoT) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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