Switzerland: Economic barometer stabilizes after falling for six consecutive months
April 26, 2013
The KOK economic barometer - which is a leading indicator for future GDP growth - inched up to 1.02 points in April from a revised 1.00 points in March (previously reported: 0.99 points). The monthly rise ended a string of six consecutive declines in the index and also surprised market analysts on the upside, as they had seen the indicator falling further to 0.98 points. The KOF Institute stated that "the stabilization, that was already indicated last month, is thereby confirmed", suggesting that year-on-year economic growth is expected to remain positive in the coming months.
According to KOF, the monthly print reflected an increase in the banking and construction sub-components, while the core GDP sub-indicator (which excludes the before mentioned sectors) continued to deteriorate.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panellists expect GDP to expand 1.1% in 2013, which is unchanged from last month's projection. For 2014, the panel expects economic growth to accelerate slightly to 1.6%.
Author: Ricardo Aceves, Senior Economist