Russia Industrial production August 2020


Russia: Industrial production contracts again in August

September 15, 2020

Industrial output dropped 7.2% year-on-year in August (July: -8.0% yoy).

Looking at the details of the release, manufacturing production contracted at a sharper pace in August, while mining and quarrying output decreased at a milder, albeit still pronounced, pace. Meanwhile, electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply production fell at a more moderate rate.

On a seasonally-adjusted monthly basis, industrial production rose at a more restrained pace of 0.5% in August (July: +0.9% mom). Meanwhile, the trend pointed down, with the annual average variation of industrial production coming in at minus 2.2%, down from July's minus 1.4% reading.

Commenting on the result, Dmitry Dolgin, chief Russia economist at ING, noted:

“We continue to believe in a further recovery of industrial output, and mainly thanks to consumer-driven sectors our -4.5% forecast for 2020 is achievable. However, the performance in the investment- and state-driven manufacturing remains subject to uncertainties in the fiscal policy.”

FocusEconomics panelists expect industrial output to fall 4.7% this year, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2021, the panel expects industrial production to increase 3.4%.


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Russia Industrial production Chart

Russia Industry August 20 20

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average growth of industrial production index in %.
Source: Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and FocusEconomics calculations

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