Poland Monetary Policy December 2016


Poland: NBP holds reference rate at record low as expected

December 7, 2016

As anticipated by market analysts, the National Bank of Poland (NBP) decided to keep the reference rate at the record low of 1.50% at its 6–7 December monetary policy meeting. The Bank has left the rate unchanged for over a year despite an environment of falling prices. In addition, the Bank held its lombard rate at 2.50%, deposit rate at 0.50% and rediscount rate at 1.75%.

The NBP’s decision to leave rates unchanged is largely due to a subsiding trend of deflation in the economy. The dissipating effect of low commodity prices is contributing to moderating deflation. The Bank sees price pressures picking up next year as growth rises and the effect of low commodity prices continues to wane.

The NBP pointed to a period of steady interest rates as price pressures gradually return to the Polish economy. The NBP explained that, “the current level of interest rates is conductive to keeping the Polish economy on the sustainable growth path”.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the policy rate to end 2016 at 1.49%. For 2017, the panel sees the rate ending the year at 1.57%.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Lead Economist

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Poland Monetary Policy Chart

Poland Monetary Policy December 2016

Note: NBP Reference Rate in %.
Source: National Bank of Poland (NBP).

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