Panama Economic Activity

Panama

Panama: Economic activity ticks down in September

November 24, 2014

In September, the monthly indicator for economic activity (IMAE, Indice Mensual de Actividad Economica) expanded 4.7% over the same month last year, which was just below the 4.8% growth tallied in August (previously reported: +4.9% year-on-year). The print marked the weakest gain since January 2010. According to the National Comptroller’s Office, the increase in September was driven by growth in several sectors of the economy, including transport, warehousing and communications, fishing, financial services and tourism. Meanwhile, the construction sector, and the mining and quarrying industry showed some growth despite the ongoing slowdown in work related to the Panama Canal expansion project.

On a month-on-month basis, economic activity in September increased 0.68% in seasonally-adjusted terms, which was below the 0.72% increase recorded in August. Meanwhile, the overall trend continues to point downward; annual average growth in economic activity inched down from 6.1% in August to 5.8% in September, which represented the lowest reading since October 2010.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists project that the economy will grow 6.6% in 2014, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. The panel expects GDP to expand 6.2% in 2015, which is unchanged from last month’s projection.


Author:, Economist

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Panama Economic Activity Chart


Panama Economic Activity September 2014

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average variation of trend-cycle economic activity in %.
Source: National Comptroller’s Office and FocusEconomics calculations.


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