Panama Economic Activity

Panama

Panama: Economic activity stutters in February

April 28, 2015

In February, the monthly indicator for economic activity (IMAE, Indice Mensual de Actividad Economica) expanded 4.7% over the same month last year, which was below than the 5.9% growth tallied in January and marked the slowest growth rate in nine months. According to the National Comptroller’s Office, the increase in February was driven by growth in several sectors of the economy, including transport, warehousing and communications, fishing, financial services and tourism. Meanwhile, the construction sector and the mining and quarrying industry showed positive growth despite the ongoing slowdown in work related to the Panama Canal expansion project. In contrast, the commerce and manufacturing sectors declined in February.

On a month-on-month basis, economic activity in February decreased 1.03% in seasonally-adjusted terms, which was much greater than the 0.11% decline recorded in January. Meanwhile, the overall trend moderated slightly; annual average growth in economic activity decreased from 5.0% in January to 4.9% in February, which marked the lowest reading in more than four years.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists project that the economy will grow 6.0% in 2015, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. The panel expects GDP to expand 6.1% in 2016.


Author:, Economist

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Panama Economic Activity Chart


Panama Economic Activity February 2015

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average variation of trend-cycle economic activity in %.
Source: National Comptroller’s Office and FocusEconomics calculations.


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