Nigeria Inflation September 2016


Nigeria: Inflation reaches yet another multi-year high, driven by weak naira

October 15, 2016

In September, consumer prices increased 0.8% from the previous month, which was below August’s 1.0% rise.

Inflation edged up from August’s 17.6% to 17.9% in September, marking the highest reading since October 2005, which reflects that the weakening naira has been heightening inflationary pressures in recent months. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, inflation was fueled by higher prices across all categories, particularly for electricity and fuels as well as imported food products. Annual average inflation continued to rise from August’s 12.7% to 13.5% in September, thereby reaching an over five-year high.

Core consumer prices, which exclude farm products and energy prices, rose 0.8% in September from the previous month, matching August’s result. Core inflation increased from 13.9% in August to 14.1% in September.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 15.7% in 2016, which is up 0.3 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2017, panelists forecast an inflation rate of 14.0%.

Author: Teresa Kersting, Economist

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Nigeria Inflation Chart

Nigeria Inflation September 2016 0

Note: Year-on-year and month-on-month variation of consumer price index in %.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics and FocusEconomics calculations.

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