Netherlands: Business confidence in July rises to highest level in over a year, although outlook still pessimistic
July 25, 2013
The Central Bureau of Statistics' (CBS) producer confidence indicator, which measures the sentiment of Dutch manufacturers, rose to a seasonally-adjusted minus 3.5 points in July (June: minus 4.1 points), reaching its highest level since April 2012. Nevertheless, the index still remains well below the 0-point threshold that separates optimistic from pessimistic sentiment, where it has idled since June 2011.
According to the CBS, businesses were considerably less pessimistic about order positions and slightly less negative regarding their future output in the next three months compared to June. On the other hand, opinions on the level of stocks of finished products deteriorated compared to June, as a majority of manufacturers still believe that the current stocks of finished products are too large compared to projected sales.
For 2013, the FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panel sees fixed investment contracting 4.5%, which is down 1.7 percentage points from last month. For 2014, the panel expects fixed investment to expand 1.1%.