Guatemala GDP

Guatemala

Guatemala: Economy accelerates in Q1

July 11, 2014

In the first quarter, the economy expanded 3.4% over the same period of the previous year. The expansion marked an improvement compared to the 3.1% increase tallied in the fourth quarter.

The acceleration in Q1 reflects an improvement in domestic demand, whereas the external sector performed worse compared to the previous quarter. Government consumption rebounded from a 1.9% decrease in Q4 to an 8.0% rise in Q1. In addition, private consumption accelerated to a 3.9% increase (Q4: +3.0% year-on-year). Fixed investment also performed better and increased 3.7% (Q4: +0.4% yoy).

On the external side of the economy, exports of goods and services grew 4.7% in Q1, which was down from the 7.6% increase recorded in Q4. Conversely, imports accelerated to a 4.9% expansion (Q4: +3.5% yoy). As a result, the external sector’s net contribution to overall growth swung from plus 0.6 percentage points in Q4 to minus 0.6 percentage points in Q1.

The Central Bank expects the economy to grow between 3.3% and 3.9% in 2014. Consensus Forecast participants see GDP growing 3.4% in 2014, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2015, panelists expect the economy to expand 3.5%.


Author:, Senior Economist

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Guatemala GDP Q114

Note: Year-on-year changes of GDP in %
Source: Guatemala Central Bank and FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast


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