Eurozone GDP Q2 2018

Eurozone

Eurozone: Growth revised up in Q2 but remains at near two-year low

August 14, 2018

A second flash estimate released by Eurostat showed that subdued growth in the Eurozone economy at the outset of the year carried over to the second quarter. GDP expanded a revised seasonally-adjusted 0.4% in Q2 (previously reported: +0.3% quarter-on-quarter) from the previous quarter, matching Q1’s reading and marking the slowest pace of growth since Q3 2016. Compared with the same quarter of 2017, seasonally-adjusted GDP rose a revised 2.2% in Q2 (previously reported: +2.1% year-on-year), markedly below Q1’s 2.5% increase.

Although the flash estimate did not include a breakdown by components, weak gains in consumer spending, thanks to higher inflation and sluggish wage growth, and cooling sentiment, owing to trade concerns, likely weighed on economic performance. Additional data on individual countries revealed that growth picked up in Germany (+0.5% qoq) and the Netherlands (0.7% qoq) in the second quarter but moderated in Spain (0.6% qoq), Italy (0.2% qoq) and Austria (0.5% qoq). Meanwhile, growth in France (0.2% qoq) and Belgium (0.3% qoq) remained steady. More complete GDP data, including a breakdown by components, will be released on 7 September.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the Euro area economy to expand 2.2% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2019, panelists see the economy expanding 1.9%.


Author:, Economist

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Euro GDP Q2 2018 0

Note: Quarter-on-quarter changes of seasonally-adjusted GDP and year-on-year variation in %.
Source: Eurostat


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