Economic Sentiment January 2020

Economic sentiment starts 2020 on a positive note

Sentiment in the Eurozone strengthened in January, although it remained quite downbeat. Economic sentiment rose to 102.8 points from December’s 101.3 points. Consequently, sentiment in the Eurozone moved further above its long-run average of 100 points.

January’s uptick came on the back of stronger confidence in the industrial and construction sectors. On the flip side, sentiment in the retail trade sector weakened, and confidence in the services sector dipped, albeit only in small measure. Meanwhile, sentiment among consumers remained unchanged. Employment plans saw notable improvements in the industrial sector, while they were largely unchanged in the construction, retail trade and services sectors.

Among the largest economies of the Euro Area, sentiment strengthened in Germany and France, while it dipped in the Netherlands and, to a greater extent, in Spain.

Commenting on the release, Bert Colijn, Eurozone senior economist at ING, stated:

“While the first quarter will not see a sudden revival of growth, signs of recovery are becoming more apparent, which means that the manufacturing recession that the eurozone is currently in can be expected to end in the months ahead. That should lead to a subdued uptick in growth, even though downside risks to the growth outlook like the coronavirus could prolong the sluggish eurozone growth environment a bit more.”

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