Egypt GDP Q4 2015

Egypt

Egypt: GDP growth picks up in October-December period

April 15, 2016

According to preliminary data, GDP increased an annual 4.0% in the October-December period (which is Q4 of calendar year 2015 and Q2 of Egypt’s 2016 fiscal year). Q4’s result marked an uptick compared to the 3.0% increase tallied in Q3. Q4’s improvement was mainly driven by the fact that exports performed better than in Q3, when they recorded a drastic contraction. Meanwhile, all components of domestic demand grew at a softer pace in Q4 than in Q3.

On the domestic side, private consumption expanded 2.1% in Q4, which followed the 4.2% expansion in Q3. Government consumption growth decelerated to 3.0% in Q4 (Q3: +5.7% year-on-year). Gross investment slowed from an 8.7% rise in Q3 to a 4.4% expansion in Q4. On the external side, exports rebounded from Q3’s massive 25.6% contraction to a modest 2.4% increase in Q4. At the same time, the contraction in imports softened from 6.8% in Q3 to 3.7% in Q4.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the economy to expand 3.3% in fiscal year 2016, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For fiscal year 2017, the panel sees economic growth at 3.9%.


Author: Teresa Kersting, Economist

Sample Report

Looking for forecasts related to GDP in Egypt? Download a sample report now.

Download




Egypt Economic News

  • Egypt: Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged in February

    February 20, 2020

    At its monetary policy meeting on 20 February, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left all interest rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting.

    Read more

  • Egypt: Inflation accelerates slightly in January

    February 15, 2020

    Consumer prices increased 0.7% in January from the previous month due to higher food and beverage prices, contrasting the 0.2% month-on-month decrease in December, according to a monthly inflation note released on 15 February.

    Read more

  • Egypt: Non-oil private sector PMI plunges in January

    February 5, 2020

    Egypt’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which measures business activity in the non-oil private sector, dropped to 46.0 in January from 48.2 in December, indicating a worse deterioration in business conditions in the sector over the previous month and the lowest reading in over two and a half years. Contributing to the downturn in January was the fastest contraction in output among Egyptian businesses in three years, which was largely due to a sharp fall in new orders, partly due to softer export demand for the fourth consecutive month.

    Read more

  • Egypt: Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged in January

    January 16, 2020

    The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) held interest rates steady at its monetary policy meeting on 16 January, leaving the overnight deposit rate at 12.25%.

    Read more

  • Egypt: Inflation jumps in December

    January 9, 2020

    Consumer prices decreased 0.2% in December in month-on-month terms, after decreasing 0.3% in November.

    Read more

More news

Search form