Dominican Republic: Presidential race too close to call
April 12, 2012
According to recent surveys, the 20 May presidential vote is expected to be a tight race. A joint survey conducted by consulting firm Gallup and local newspaper Hoy in late March assigns 48.7% of popular support to Danilo Medina of the governing Dominican Liberation Party (PLD, Partido de la Liberacion Dominicana), while giving 45.2% of votes to former president Hipolito Mejia, of the Dominican Revolutionary Party (PRD, Partido Revolucionario Dominicano). More recent polls, however, give an edge to Mejia, who, according to a poll conducted by consulting firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and local newspaper Diario Libre at the beginning of April, will win 49% of the vote, against 46% for Medina. Based on these figures, a run-off vote is in sight, as according to Dominican electoral law, candidates can be elected directly in the first round only if they win more than 50% of the votes. According to the Greenberg Quinlan Rosner survey, Mejia would result the final winner in a potential second-round vote, obtaining 51% of total votes. Candidates face tough challenges ahead, in particular renegotiating a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and restructuring the energy sector, which is currently draining resources from the state coffers.
Author: Armando Ciccarelli, Head of Data Solutions