China PMI October 2016


China: Manufacturing PMI soars to over two-year high in October

November 1, 2016

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) jumped from September’s 50.4% to 51.2% in October, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP), which publish the index. The reading, which was the highest since July 2014, overshot the 50.3% that market analysts had expected, taking it further above the 50% threshold that separates expansion from contraction in the manufacturing sector.

October’s reading reflected an overall improvement as all the main sub-categories of the index gained ground from September’s print. In particular, employment prospects soared to a nearly three-year high, while production and new orders jumped to 25- and 27-month highs, respectively. Input prices—a reliable leading indicator for producer prices—increased to a five-and-a-half-year high, suggesting that inflationary pressures are gradually resurfacing. New exports, however, fell to contractionary territory in October, signaling weak global demand.

Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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China PMI Chart

China PMI October 2016

Note: Purchasing Managers’ Index. Readings above 50% indicate an expansion in the manufacturing sector while readings below 50% indicate a contraction.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP).

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