China Investment


China: Investment stabilizes in November

December 12, 2015

In the first 11 months of the year, urban fixed-asset investment (FAI), excluding rural households, expanded 10.2% over the same period last year, which matched the result tallied in the January–October period. The print topped market analysts’ expectations of a 10.1% increase. The reading reflected better dynamics in the primary and secondary sectors, while growth in the tertiary sector was nearly unchanged. Nevertheless, the closely-watched real estate development indicator slowed again in the January–November period, falling to the lowest annual growth rate since the trough of the financial crisis in 2009.

A month-on-month comparison shows that investment in urban fixed assets rose a seasonally-adjusted 0.73% in November, which was broadly unchanged from the 0.72% increase tallied in October.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect fixed-asset investment to grow 10.8% in 2016, which is unchanged from last month’s Consensus. In 2017, the panel sees fixed-asset investment growth broadly stable at 9.9%.

Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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China Investment Chart

China Investment November 2015

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted urban fixed-asset investment index and annual growth rate (year-to-date) in %. Owing to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year, annual figures in January and February are reported together.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS).

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