China Investment


China: Investment records weakest expansion in over a decade in 2013

January 20, 2014

In the full year 2013, urban fixed-asset investment excluding rural households (FAI) rose 19.6% over the same period of the previous year. The growth rate was below the 20.6% tallied in 2012. The print marked the lowest print since 2002 and slightly undershot market expectations of a 19.8% increase. The deceleration seen over the course of 2013 reflects weaker growth in industry, which was partially offset by stronger growth in the primary and the services sectors.

A month-on-month comparison shows that investment in urban fixed assets rose a seasonally-adjusted 1.41% in December, which matched the result tallied in November.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect fixed-asset investment to grow 19.7% in 2014, which is unchanged from last month's Consensus. In 2015, the panel sees fixed-asset investment growing 18.8%.


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China Investment Chart

China Investment December 2013

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted urban fixed-asset investment index and annual growth rate (year-to-date) in %. Owing to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year, annual figures in January and February are reported together.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS).

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