Chile Business Confidence March 2017

Chile

Chile: Business confidence declines in March

April 6, 2017

The business confidence index (IMCE, Indicador Mensual de Confianza Empresarial) published by ICARE and the Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez fell from 46.0 points in February to 45.1 points in March, putting paid to three consecutive monthly increases. Following the drop, the indicator remains stuck below the 50-point threshold that separates pessimism from optimism, where it has been since April 2014.

March’s decline was due to worsening sentiment in the industry, commercial and mining sectors, with only the construction sector bucking the trend. However, the construction sector remains mired in pessimistic territory as a result of sluggish investment and stricter mortgage requirements. The commercial sector is now in neutral territory, with firms growing considerably less optimistic regarding their financial conditions, while businesses in the industry sector became more downbeat with respect to prices and output. Only the mining sector remained in optimistic territory, despite the uncertainty emanating from the labor dispute at the Escondida copper mine.

Panelists surveyed for this month’s LatinFocus report expect fixed investment to grow 0.9% in 2017, which is unchanged from last month’s estimate. In 2018, the panel expects fixed investment to increase 3.0%.


Author:, Economist

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Chile Business Confidence Chart


Chile Business Confidence March 2017

Note: Business Confidence Index (IMCE, Indicator Mensual de Confianza Empresarial). Values above 50 indicate optimistic perception, below 50 indicate negative perception.
Source: Universidad Adolfo Ibanez/ICARE


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