Brazil Retail June 2017


Brazil: Retail sales surge in June

August 15, 2017

Retail sales (excluding cars and construction) gained steam in June after recording meagre growth in May. Sales increased 1.2% from the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms, which was above May’s revised 0.2% increase (previously reported: -0.1% month-on-month) and notably overshot market analysts expectations of a 0.4% rise.

Looking at June’s result in detail, increases were recorded in six of the eight components of the index. A notable rise was seen in sales of clothing and footwear, while sales of furniture and house appliances also posted solid growth.

On an annual basis, retail sales increased 3.0% in June, which was above May’s 2.6% increase and the best result since Mayt 2014. As a result, the trend rose and the annual average variation in retail sales came in at minus 3.0% in June, above May’s minus 3.6%.

Panelists participating in this month’s LatinFocus Consensus Forecast expect retail sales to increase 0.8% in 2017, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2018, the panel sees retail sales growing 2.6%.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Brazil Retail Chart

Brazil Retail June 2017

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally-adjusted retail sales and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Brazilian Institute of Statistics and Geography (IBGE) and FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast.

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