Brazil Inflation


Brazil: Inflation climbs to 12-year high

December 9, 2015

Consumer prices in November increased 1.01% over the previous month. The print was above the 0.82% increase recorded in October and overshot market expectations of a 0.95% rise. The monthly result was mainly driven by higher prices for food and beverages as well as for clothing.

Inflation in November climbed from October’s 9.9% to 10.5% in November, which marked the highest figure since November 2003. As a result, inflation remains far above the Central Bank’s tolerance margin of plus/minus 2.0 percentage points around 4.5%. Inflationary pressures have risen dramatically since the beginning of the year despite a number of hikes in the Central Bank’s SELIC interest rate and the economy being in recession.

Panelists participating in the LatinFocus Consensus Forecast see inflation closing 2015 at 10.2%, which is up 0.5 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2016, the panel expects inflation of 6.3%, which is up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month’s estimate.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Brazil Inflation Chart

Brazil Inflation November 2015

Note: Annual and monthly var. of IPCA consumer price index in %.
Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

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