Brazil Industry May 2019


Brazil: Industrial production contracts in May

July 2, 2019

Industrial production fell 0.2% month-on-month in seasonally-adjusted terms in May, contrasting April’s 0.3% increase but overshooting market expectations of a 0.4% drop.

The downturn was driven by plunging production of consumer goods. Among sectors, industrial output fell in 18 of the 26 surveyed, including a sharp drop in output of motor vehicles and trailers.

On an annual basis, industrial production rose 7.2% in May, contrasting April’s 3.9% contraction. The result is partly due to a favorable base effect as May 2019 has one more working day than the same month of last year. Annual average variation in industrial production came in flat in May, up from April’s minus 1.2%.

The analysts surveyed by FocusEconomics for this month’s LatinFocus Consensus Forecast see industrial production growing 0.9% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month's estimate. In 2020, industrial output is expected to grow 2.9%.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Lead Economist

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Brazil Industry Chart

Brazil Industry May 2019

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted industrial production and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Brazil Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and FocusEconomics calculations.

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