Brazil Business Confidence

Brazil

Brazil: Downward trend in business confidence continues in August

August 27, 2014

Business sentiment fell in August for the eighth consecutive month, according to the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV, Fundaçao Getulio Vargas) business confidence indicator. The index dropped a seasonally-adjusted 1.2% over the previous month and now rests at 83.4 points, which is down from the 84.4 points tallied in July and marks the lowest level since April 2009. The index is now even further below the 100-point threshold, which signals that businesses are more pessimistic than optimistic.

Firms were significantly more pessimistic regarding the current situation of the economy. However, business sentiment toward the future situation of the economy rose to the highest level in eight months.

LatinFocus Consensus Forecast participants see fixed investment expanding 2.6% in 2014, which is down 1.6 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2015, panelists expect fixed investment to expand 1.9%.


Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Brazil Business Confidence Chart


Brazil Business Confidence August 2014

Note: Index of business sentiment (seasonally adjusted). The 100-point threshold represents the point above which businesses expect economic conditions to improve.
Source: Getulio Vargas Foundation.


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