Argentina Economic Activity

Argentina

Argentina: Economic activity accelerates further in June

August 21, 2015

Economic activity in June increased 3.8% over the same month last year, which was an improvement over the 2.2% increase seen in the previous month. June’s expansion in economic activity marked the highest reading on record.

Compared to the previous month, economic activity in June rose 0.5% in seasonally-adjusted terms, which followed the 0.8% expansion seen in May.

As a result of the national statistical institute’s change to the base year of the index from 1993 to 2004 in March 2014, the new index brings the official estimates closer to the independent estimates that local private analysts produce, which have traditionally pointed to lower growth compared to official sources. However, there is still a discrepancy between official and non-official figures.

LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists expect official GDP to increase 0.4% in 2015, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2016, participants expect official GDP to expand 1.6%. The panel sees non-official GDP contracting 0.3% in 2015; they expect it to rebound to a 0.8% expansion in 2016.


Author:, Senior Economist

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Argentina Economic Activity June 2015

Note: Month-on-month and year-on-year changes of economic activity in %.
Source: Argentina National Statistical Institute (INDEC) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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