FocusEconomics Insights - Latest Posts
October 8, 2018
Brazil's economy has had a tough time of it so far this year. The truckers' strike, the depreciating real and the uncertainty regarding presidential elections have all contributed to Brazil's economic woes in 2018. In this post, Senior Economist Angela Bouzanis answers some key questions regarding Brazil's economic outlook as we head into 2019.
October 3, 2018
When the clock struck midnight on 31st December 2017, emerging-market leaders were surely all praying for one thing; that the good times would continue to roll on into the New Year.
2017 was a stellar year for developing economies. Growth was buoyed by a synchronized expansion across the globe, local stock markets boomed, and still-loose monetary policy in developed nations—particularly the United States—meant currency pressures were minimal.
September 27, 2018
Guest Post from Biz Latin Hub
Central America is for the most part showing signs of emergence and improvement in the international market. Despite fears surrounding security, unrest and corruption, the region is making significant ground in cleaning up its reputation and is a progressively more attractive investment prospect for foreign businesses.
Although much of the economy still remains heavily reliant on traditional sectors such as agriculture and textiles, exciting new trends and opportunities are springing up across the subcontinent as mirrored in the rest of Latin America.
September 19, 2018
Guest Author: Daniel Solomon, Economist, Euromonitor International
Turkey’s economy has deteriorated dramatically during the summer. The Turkish lira crashed by 33% in August 2018, bringing the total depreciation for 2018 to around 70%. Inflation in August reached 17.9% year-on-year, and the central bank raised its key interest rate from 8% to 17.75% during the summer. Both consumer and business confidence have dropped sharply. In September, Turkey’s central bank hiked interest rates once again to 24%.
September 19, 2018
GDP per capita is often considered an indicator of the standard of living of a given country, as it reflects the average wealth of each person residing in a country. It is therefore the standard method used to compare how poor or wealthy countries are in relation to each other. As we get closer to 2019, we decided to take a look at our forecasts for GDP per capita from 2019 to 2022 for the 127 countries we cover to get an idea of what countries are the wealthiest currently and how the rankings will change over the coming years. The projections used in this study are Consensus Forecasts based on the individual forecasts of over 1000 world renowned investment banks, economic think tanks and professional economic forecasting firms.
September 17, 2018
Angola’s government recently reached out to the IMF for talks on a loan deal in exchange for more structural reforms. Angola is Africa’s third-largest economy and the continent’s second largest oil-exporter. The economy was badly hit by the plunge in oil prices after 2014.
September 7, 2018
The Turkish proverb “Zararın neresinden dönülse kârdır” can be loosely translated as “reducing losses at any point is always profitable ”. Simply put, it means that if one is on the wrong track, then the best course of action is to perform a U-turn, however painful or chastening it may be in the short run.
Economists and investors who have followed the tumultuous developments in Turkey in recent weeks must surely be hoping for the government and Central Bank to take the message to heart. Over the last month the lira has collapsed, driven by geopolitical tension with the U.S. and loose fiscal and monetary policy. This has led input costs to rocket and is saddling corporates with an ever heftier external debt burden.
August 29, 2018
The pounding of the trade war drums is growing ever more deafening, with the U.S. and China currently engaged in an escalating, tit-for-tat tariff battle. The latest salvo came on 23 August when a fresh raft of tariffs came into force and two days of trade talks in Washington drew a blank. Many are still hopeful that common sense will prevail, but what if negotiations fall through? What would happen if analysts’ worst fears are realized, and we enter a full-blown trade war? What would be the impact on the export-oriented economies of the ASEAN region?
August 23, 2018
Economics influencers such as academics, journalists, industry professionals and even central bankers frequently take to Twitter to share their daily thoughts on all things economics, finance, monetary policy and politics in concise yet informative 240-character Tweets. With the success of our Top Economics and Finance Bloggers lists and the fact that not all economics inflencers have blogs, we put together a list of 75 top economics influencers that you can follow on Twitter. We have ranked this list by number of followers. This list can be thought of as a living document, therefore, we will edit the list from time to time to keep it up-to-date and suggest more influencers for you to follow. With that said, let's get to the list of 75 top economics influencers:
August 16, 2018
Emerging Markets have suffered in recent years due to low commodities prices and slower global demand. With signs that emerging markets were on the comeback trail in 2017, many analysts earlier this year believed that 2018 would be much brighter for Emerging Markets, however, there are signs that tailwinds are fading. The IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook that this year and next, "growth in emerging market and developing economies will rise before leveling off.”
Our economists believe that there is a growing divergence between developed and developing economies. Among developing nations with economies with relatively solid fundamentals and driven by commodity exports—especially oil—growth is accelerating this year going into next. However, higher yields in the United States, the rise in energy prices and large exposure to foreign debt are putting pressure on some oil-importing countries and those with persistent macroeconomic imbalances. This mostly results in heightened volatility in their financial and equity markets, as well as sizeable currency depreciations. Let’s take a closer look at what’s expected for some of these countries in the coming year:
Get a sample report showing our regional, country and commodities data and analysis.
- Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog
- Marginal Revolution
- Morss Global Finance
- Observatorio Asia
- Observing Greece
- Of Markets & Men
- Punto de Vista Económico
- The Capital Spectator
- Trading Floor: Social trading, news and analysis
- True Economics
- Emre Deliveli's Blog on the Turkish Economy
- MISH'S Global Economic Trend Analysis
- Wolf Street
- Geopolitica italiana
- bAg (Blog de economía de la ALdEa Global)
- Stock Trader´s Almanac
- Real-World Economics Review Blog
- The Winkle Institute for Worldwide Economic Stability
- Dash of Insight
- Worthwhile Canadian Initiative
- Chaco Realidades
- Comentario Financiero