FocusEconomics Insights - Latest Posts
February 11, 2016
50 analysts surveyed by FocusEconomics expect Eurozone unemployment rate to average 10.4% this year:
February 3, 2016
Asia contributes the most to the World's GDP growth, followed by the countries from the G7. The Consensus view of analysts surveyed this month by FocusEconomics is that the global economy will expand 3.0% this year, which represents a 0.1 percentage points cut over the previous month:
January 20, 2016
As Iran ordered a ramping up of production by 500,000 on Monday, Persian tankers were already filling their hulls with millions of barrels of low-sulphur crude, destined mostly for European markets. Although there are some factors restricting the accessibility of Iranian crude to foreign markets, especially given that U.S. institutions are still barred from Iranian oil transactions, Iran will want to regain market share it has either lost, or never had access to. This will most likely translate to more supply of high-quality hydrocarbons and downside pressure on prices.
January 11, 2016
These economies are forecast to be the best performers in 2016 according to our poll of economists
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January 10, 2016
We sat down with Economist Robert Hill to find out more about the outlook for the Australian economy in 2016. Here’s his view on what’s in store for Australia.
December 22, 2015
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December 15, 2015
Tunisia’s important tourism sector has been drastically impacted by three high-profile terrorist attacks this year, the most recent of which took place in late November in downtown Tunis. As Tunisia ramps up security in its ongoing effort to combat militants within its own borders, thousands of Tunisians are believed to have taken up arms and joined opposition forces in Syria, mainly with Al-Nusra and the Islamic State (ISIL). Such extremism and attacks have devastating human costs, as well as far-reaching implications for economic growth. President Beji Caid Essebsi has declared a “war against terrorism” in response to the latest attacks; hopefully he will not overlook including pro-growth reforms in his arsenal.
December 14, 2015
What do virtually all post-1950 U.S. recessions have in common? Naturally there are many answers to this question, but one interesting detail is that between four to six months prior to the recession, the difference in yields between 10-year treasury notes and the three-month U.S. Treasury bill yields was negative. That is to say, the yield curve was inverted. Since the relationship between output and the yield curve was discovered, the validity of the yield curve as a leading indicator has proven robust. Even beyond the United States, a litany of studies has demonstrated the ability of the yield curve to predict future output.
December 7, 2015
China’s meteoric rise in the past has been a boon to developing and advanced economies alike. Its seemingly insatiable consumption of raw materials destined for its rapidly-expanding urban centers and capital investments in a number of sectors helped to inflate what is often referred to as the “commodities super cycle” that has characterized the past 15 years. In an effort to secure such commodities, China has expanded its presence in sub-Saharan Africa, sending substantial sums of capital, expertise and workers to develop extraction industries and infrastructure in several countries. However, China’s rapid growth is unwinding, and its objectives in Africa are likely to reflect this fact. This month, Chinese leader Xi Jinping visits Zimbabwe and South Africa to engage in talks with African leaders.
December 1, 2015
Netherlands: Consumer sentiment ebbs in Januaryhttps://t.co/UkLsDCFatE
15 hours ago
France: Business confidence rebounds in Januaryhttps://t.co/5xJQIZAKcD
15 hours ago
Philippines: Economy gathers pace in Q4 but full-year growth still misses government's targethttps://t.co/ltlL1Knh39
16 hours ago
Taiwan: Economic activity accelerates in Q4https://t.co/77hUkOARpG
17 hours ago
Eurozone: Revised data shows the economy gains some pace in Q3 but remains frail neverthelesshttps://t.co/T7xwHJQC3g
18 hours ago
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