United Kingdom, Economic Forecasts from the World

United Kingdom: Economic Indicators: 2012

GDP declines in the final quarter of 2011



In the fourth quarter, GDP contracted a seasonally adjusted 0.2% over the previous quarter, according to preliminary data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on 25 January. The reading contrasted the 0.6% expansion tallied in the third quarter and undershot market expectations that had the economy contracting 0.1%. Compared to the same quarter the previous year, growth benefited from a favourable base effect and picked up to 0.8%, up from the third quarter’s 0.5% increase.

All main sectors deteriorated over the previous quarter. The industrial sector led the decline by contracting 1.2% (Q3 2011: +0.2% quarter-on-quarter), followed by construction, which dropped 0.5% (Q3 2011: +0.3% qoq). Moreover, output in the services sector remained flat over the previous quarter (Q3 2011: +0.7% qoq).


Forecasts: This indicator is covered in the FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast. For 5-year projections, including quarterly forecasts for the next two years, please visit our Online Store.




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